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Expert Opinions and Logarithmic Utility Maximization for Multivariate Stock Returns with Gaussian Drift

机译:多变量的专家意见和对数效用最大化   股票收益与高斯漂移

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摘要

This paper investigates optimal trading strategies in a financial market withmultidimensional stock returns where the drift is an unobservable multivariateOrnstein-Uhlenbeck process. Information about the drift is obtained byobserving stock returns and expert opinions. The latter provide unbiasedestimates on the current state of the drift at discrete points in time. The optimal trading strategy of investors maximizing expected logarithmicutility of terminal wealth depends on the filter which is the conditionalexpectation of the drift given the available information. We state filteringequations to describe its dynamics for different information settings. Betweenexpert opinions this is the Kalman filter. The conditional covariance matricesof the filter follow ordinary differential equations of Riccati type. We relyon basic theory about matrix Riccati equations to investigate their properties.Firstly, we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the covariance matrices for anincreasing number of expert opinions on a finite time horizon. Secondly, westate conditions for the convergence of the covariance matrices on an infinitetime horizon with regularly arriving expert opinions. Finally, we derive the optimal trading strategy of an investor. The optimalexpected logarithmic utility of terminal wealth, the value function, is afunctional of the conditional covariance matrices. Hence, our analysis of thecovariance matrices allows us to deduce properties of the value function.
机译:本文研究了具有多维股票收益率的金融市场中的最优交易策略,其中的漂移是不可观察的多元奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程。有关漂移的信息是通过观察库存收益和专家意见获得的。后者提供了在离散时间点上漂移的当前状态的无偏估计。最大化终端财富的预期对数效用的投资者的最佳交易策略取决于过滤器,这是在给定可用信息的情况下对漂移的条件预期。我们陈述过滤方程来描述其针对不同信息设置的动态。在专家之间的意见是卡尔曼滤波器。滤波器的条件协方差矩阵遵循Riccati型常微分方程。我们依靠关于矩阵Riccati方程的基本理论来研究它们的性质。首先,在有限的时间范围内,考虑协方差矩阵的渐近行为,以增加专家的意见。其次,我们陈述了在无穷远的时间范围内具有定期到达的专家意见的协方差矩阵收敛的条件。最后,我们得出投资者的最佳交易策略。终极财富的最佳预期对数效用,即价值函数,是条件协方差矩阵的函数。因此,我们对协方差矩阵的分析使我们能够推断出值函数的性质。

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